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By Askia Muhammad | SACOBSERVER.COM WIRE SERVICES WASHINGTON (NNPA) - Democratic
presidential candidate Sen. Barack Obama rebounded from his
worst single week in the campaign with a resounding March
21 endorsement from former fellow candidate Bill Richardson,
the governor of New Mexico.
“Above all, you will be a president who brings this
nation together,” Gov. Richardson, a “super delegate”
and a prominent former Bill Clinton cabinet secretary, said
of Sen. Obama at a campaign rally in Portland. Votes in the
Oregon primary will be counted May 20.
Gov. Richardson’s support was announced at the end
of a tough period for the senator, the leader in the primary
popular vote, the winner of the most state primaries, and
the delegate leader over Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton (D-N.Y.).
Sen. Obama saw his lead in national polls wither as he was
tarred by fallout from excerpts of remarks about American
racial history by the Rev. Dr. Jeremiah Wright, the former
pastor at Sen. Obama’s Trinity United Church of Christ
in Chicago. Those remarks were magnified in the media political
“echo-chamber,”and pushed Sen. Obama to deliver
a lengthy address on race relations March 18 in Philadelphia,
ahead of the important April 22 Pennsylvania primary.
The Richardson endorsement means “the super delegates
are still moving in (Sen. Obama’s) direction,”
Dr. Ronald Walters, professor of political science at the
University of Maryland, told The Final Call.
“That’s a hell-of-a confirmation from somebody
who served in the Clinton administration. It comes at a strategic
time. It might signal to the other super delegates to continue
to move in that direction. So, no, he’s not ‘toast,’
but they sure burned him pretty bad,” he said, speaking
of Sen. Obama.
“I don’t think (his campaign is) ‘toast’
because he still has a lead right now and it’s going
to take one hell of a performance on (Sen. Clinton’s)
part right now in order to get ahead of him in votes; popular
votes; number of states won, and so forth.
“She may have done what she wanted to do with respect
to Pennsylvania,” said Dr. Walters, which was to put
a “racial tag” on the up until now, fairly race-neutral
Obama effort. “In order to overtake him in the popular
vote, she has to win all of the rest of (the eight state and
two territorial primaries remaining) by 60 percent or more,
and she’s not going to do that.”
Another prominent scholar and expert on national politics,
and Black politics in particular, agreed. “Let me remind
you of the foremost rules in terms of the outcome of presidential
elections. The factors that most influence are: Is the economy
in a recession? Is there an unpopular war? Are there scandals
connected to the incumbent administration?” said Dr.
David Bositis, senior research fellow at the Joint Center
for Political and Economic Studies. “And, if you look
at those factors—the fact of the matter is, if you look
at the most important, by far, the most important factors—we
are in a recession right now, and it looks to be potentially
quite a bad recession. This is not something that’s
going to go away before election day...We have an unpopular
war which is extremely costly. Casualties have been going
back up among the military in Iraq,” said Dr. Bositis,
complaining that opinion polls showing Republican Sen. John
McCain possibly winning the election over either Sen. Obama
or Sen. Clinton are grossly inaccurate.
“So we’re going to have a presidential election
where the incumbent candidate—and McCain is the candidate
of the incumbent party at the time of a recession—and
potentially quite a bad recession, is going to win by 10 points
plus, while there is a very unpopular war, which is his signature
issue? That’s going to happen? If that’s what’s
going to happen, it’s never happened before in American
history, and it goes totally contrary to any of the patterns
that have been observed in American presidential elections
for the past 100 years,” Dr. Bositis insisted.
Despite the likelihood that Republicans will mount an unscrupulous
“Swift Boat”-type campaign against Sen. Obama
around racial issues, Sen. McCain is no match for Sen. Obama
if and when the candidates meet face to face in campaign debates,
he said. Sen. John Kerry (D-Mass.), the 2004 Democratic presidential
nominee, had his record as a decorated Vietnam War hero tarnished
and his patriotism maligned by vicious TV attack ads.
“Once you get into the general election, I think that
Barack Obama will be so far, head and shoulders, above John
McCain in terms of performance, that it’s likely to
be clear who the better candidate is,” said Dr. Walters.
“I just don’t think that John McCain has got the
stuff to stand up to him. When they get into debates, when
they get out there explaining public policy, I just don’t
think he’s sharp enough.
“I wouldn’t think this one thing is going to
bring him down in the general election. It’s certainly
going to do what it’s done already, and that is to bring
them closer together in public opinion polls.”
But in the end, Dr. Bositis insists, White workers, who
see their jobs being exported overseas, and Whites who oppose
the Bush administration’s war in Iraq and its so-called
“war on terrorism,” are not likely to elect another
Republican administration, period.
“What support (Sen. Obama’s) going to get from
the White working class in the presidential election—I
don’t think he’s going to get the White working
class vote in the primaries—in the general election
it’s going to come because those peoples’ jobs
are potentially dead meat. They’re going to vote their
pocketbook, even if they have misgivings about Obama, even
on race, they’re not going to vote for four more years
of Republican politics,” predicted Dr. Bositis. Most
White voters, he said, will realize that if Sen. McCain is
elected, “they might as well move their family to the
local shelter.”
This story comes special to the NNPA from the Final Call.
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